Will the XRP Price Rally Restart in October?

Many crypto traders are asking the same question: Can XRP’s price start rising again in October? The answer is uncertain, but there are a few important clues that can help us guess what might happen.

The Current Situation

As of now, XRP is trading in a range between about $2.70 and $2.90. Analysts see $2.75 as a key support level. If XRP holds above that, there is hope for a rebound. If it loses that level, the price might fall further.
Trading News
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There is also resistance around $2.80 to $2.81, where many sellers are waiting. That zone, reinforced by the 100-day moving average, could slow down any upward move.
Cointelegraph
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What Could Drive a Rally

For the price to restart an upward move, these factors will be important:

ETF Approvals and Institutional Demand
A lot is riding on decisions by U.S. regulators about spot XRP ETFs. If these ETFs are approved, institutions will need to buy XRP to back the funds, which could push the price higher.
Coinpedia Fintech News
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Cryptonews
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Liquidity Rotation
Some analysts expect that money might shift from Bitcoin and Ethereum into altcoins like XRP if institutional interest grows.
Cryptonews

Supply Tightness
XRP tokens in exchanges are relatively low, meaning fewer coins are ready to sell. This low supply could help prices rise if demand shows up.
Coinpedia Fintech News

Technical Breakout
If XRP can break above its resistance (around $2.80–$2.90) with strong volume, more buyers might join, pushing it upward toward targets like $3.20 or $3.60.
Trading News
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Risks That Could Delay or Block the Rally

Failure to Hold Key Support
If XRP drops below the $2.70–$2.75 region, it may trigger more selling toward $2.50 or even $2.00.
Cointelegraph
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Delays or Rejections of ETF Plans
Regulatory setbacks could scare investors away and ruin momentum.
Cryptonews
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Coinpedia Fintech News
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Strong Resistance Zones
Even if XRP tries to move up, the wall around $2.80–$2.81 may hold many sellers, making it hard to break out.
Cointelegraph
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Market Sentiment & Macro Risks
If the broader crypto market slides, or global news causes fear, that may drag XRP down with it.

Possible Price Scenarios for October

Base Case (Moderate Rally):
If support holds and one or two ETFs get approved, XRP could rise +15-40%, reaching $3.30 to $4.00.
InvestingHaven

Bull Case (Strong Rally):
With multiple ETF approvals and heavy inflows, some think XRP could jump 50-150%, pushing it toward $4.30 to $7.00+.
InvestingHaven

Bearish Case:
If things go wrong — broken support, ETF delays, weak demand — XRP might drop 10-30%, falling to $2.58 or $2.00 range.
InvestingHaven

Outlook & What to Watch

October could be a turning month for XRP. If support holds and regulatory momentum works in its favor, the rally could resume. But if key support breaks or approvals are delayed, the path upward becomes much harder.

Key things to watch:

Whether XRP holds $2.70–$2.75

If it can break above $2.80–$2.90

News about ETF decisions and regulatory moves

Volume and how many coins are available to sell

In short: yes, a rally is possible — but it’s not guaranteed. The next few weeks will be crucial in deciding whether XRP heads back up or takes a step back first.

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